Baseball and hockey, all lines from Matchbook, all risking 1 unit:
MLB
Braves +162
Hamels hasn't pitched as badly as his ERA would have you believe, but Jo Jo has been solid and this line is over-inflated.
Padres +150
Ditto on this one. Gaudin's FIP so far is a respectable 3.56 and his strikeout rate is higher than Wandy's.
Nationals +117
The worst team in the history of baseball (at least, if you ask anybody living in the DC area) is only +117 on the road? Ludicrous.
Tigers +122
I don't know how to check this, but Verlander has got to have the most deceiving ERA in a long time. His ERA is 5.66, but that's inflated by his .381 BABIP, and look at his other numbers (K/BB = 45/12, K/9 = 11.57, WHIP = 1.37, etc.). He's pitching incredibly well, but you wouldn't know it unless you looked deeper, and most people don't.
A's +107
Richmond's 4-0 record must be keeping the Bluejays as the favorite in this game, because it doesn't make any sense otherwise. Over 70% are taking the road favorite.
NHL
Carolina Hurricanes +111
Boston in a "must-win" situation on the road tonight, and the public is jumping on board. Predictably, we're going the other way and backing the home dog.
Friday, May 8, 2009
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment