Today's afternoon play:
Cleveland Indians +202 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 2.02 units.
That number is just absurd. Sure, Cliff Lee has struggled so far this year. Sure, the Yankees are the better team. Sure, Sabathia was great last time out. But consider the other side of this equation. A-Rod is still out, and this team is, frankly, pretty bad offensively without him. The only difference between your preception of Cliff Lee and of CC Sabathia is that Lee opened this season with two ugly starts, whereas Sabathia only had one. Lee still has the better K/BB ratio on the year. I just don't see this is a 2/1 type game. +150, maybe, but this number makes absolutely no sense. Indeed, the Indians were +180 as recently as 8 AM.
Usually we stay away from numbers that are this out of whack, because of concern that something we don't know about is going on with the game. But here the reason for the line move seems obvious- legions of Yankee backers who think "dere's no friggin' way Da Yanks are gonna lose dere first game at da new joint!" We love fading people like that.
2 comments:
GO YANKS!!!
Come on, you forgot to write something disparaging and off-color about the Red Sox! I thought that was required.
Enjoy the game today. Stadium looks great. Except for the centerfield bleachers that are behind the restaurant, I suppose.
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