Afternoon picks before I leave for Nats Park.
Colorado Rockies +121 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.21 units.
We think big things are in store for Ubaldo Jiminez this year. The Cubs' strong start and win on national TV last night creates value here even though the Rockies very clearly have the better of the pitching matchup. This one's a no-brainer.*
* In this context, no-brainer means there's value, not that the pick is a guaranteed winner. Of course, if you didn't know that already, you are probably better served at the covers.com forums.
Washington Nationals +110 (WSEX), 1 unit to win 1.1 units.
I'm bringing my giant flash to the stadium, like the one the guy in the BW-3 commerical uses to send the basketball game into overtime at the request of the patrons. I'll get a win today for us, and for the Nats, even if it means I'm banned for life from MLB ballparks.
Actually, I think we're gonna be fading the Phillies a lot this year. Their World Series win and the talent at the front of their order has created the mistaken impression that they are now among the game's elite. They are not. PECOTA forecasts 87 wins and a third-place finish in the East. But as long as people keep thinking that the Phillies are a 95-win team, we'll keep fading them. Even when they're playing the Nats. Ugh.
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