Friday, April 10, 2009

Friday Night Baseball

Nothing made the cut for the afternoon (Bluejays was the only one that was close), but we agreed on 2 for tonight:

Twins +140, 1 unit to win 1.40 units

This is not a game I'd be looking forward to watching. Both pitchers are equally awful so getting +140 on either side looks like value to us, and the 66% of wagerliners on the White Sox makes it look even better. Like the old saying goes, "When betting on a shit-eating contest, you might as well go with the underdog." That's a saying, right?

Mariners +142, 1 unit to win 1.42 units

After last year's well-known disappointment, the Mariners will likely continue to be underrated for a while, which is good for those of us paying attention. The Griffey signing might not make much difference, but defensive improvements like Gutierrez and Chavez in the outfield are really going to help this team. The CHONE projections on Oakland's starter, Brett Anderson, aren't terrible, but he's not as good as Rowland-Smith (at least, not yet). Another good number to take a stab at.

That's it for today. I tried to talk Grover into Mike Hampton, if only for the humor value, but he wouldn't go for it. When his arm falls completely off of his body in the 2nd inning, you'll know that Grover is the smart one. Considered the Nats also, as always it seems, but ultimately passed. The McDonald kid starting for the Dodgers tonight was an interesting thought as a favorite over suck-ass Jon Garland, but we're going to stick with these two. Good luck everybody.

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