A clean sweep 3-0 last night, thanks to a couple of nail-biting extra-innings wins. We'll take it. One baseball pick for Thursday afternoon:
A's (Smith) -115 (Matchbook), 115 to win 100
The BABIP analysis (see post below) would indicate that Smith has been a little lucky so far this season, and Liriano has been a little unlucky. We agree that it's unlikely Smith will finish the season with an ERA of 3.00, but we don't think luck is the most significant explanation for Liriano's struggles. Liriano hasn't just been unlucky on the balls put in play, he's also hurting himself by walking 5 batters a game and putting potential runs on the bases (K/BB is 7/10). He had not pitched a game since September, 2006, and it appears he's not 100% healthy and/or is still rusty from the long layoff. A's have been hitting better than the Twins lately, and are at home, so we'll take them as the slim favorite today.
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