Thursday, April 24, 2008

Thursday Night Baseball Pick

Well, that Oakland game couldn't have really gone any better for us. It's always nice when you make play based on how bad you think the opposing pitcher will be, and then that pitcher can't even make it out of the first inning, getting tagged with 6 earned runs in the process. I went back and forth over whether just to call it a day after such a good result, but we decided to play one more:

Yankees -102 (Matchbook), 102 to win 100

That's a great price for the Yankees in almost any situation. Gavin Floyd's lucky start to the season has given us an irresistable line toinght. Floyd's BABIP is a ridiculously low .135 this season, which makes him one of the luckiest bastards in the league. Expect his 1.40 ERA to rise dramatically in the coming weeks, to the point where folks start to remember that his ERA last year was 5.27. The year before that? A whopping 7.29. Don't be fooled by the hot start. Also, don't be fooled by Hughes' poor numbers so far. His BABIP is .417, which makes him one of the UN-luckiest bastards in the league. Take the cheap discount on the Yanks.

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