Italy +162 (Matchbook), 0.50 units to win 0.81 units
France and Italy are both desparate for a win today, needing the win to advance as long as Romania either Draws or loses against the Netherlands today (which is not a given considering all the players the Dutch will be resting today). Going into the tournament, I thought Italy was clearly the better team, so I'm going with them in the must-win situation today.
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