Friday, September 12, 2008

Friday Night Lights

We're not going to be taking a position on every Thursday & Friday night game this season, but this week, there just happened to be two that looked very good.

South Florida -3.5 -101 (Matchbook), 1.01 units to win 1 unit

The betting and line movement is the most important story here. The public has been decidedly on Kansas all week, yet the line has held fast at +3.5. The fact that the books been getting so many bets on Kansas, but have stubbornly left that hook out there on the 3, almost begging for more Kansas tickets, tells me a lot. Some significant losses for Kansas at RB, WR, and on the offensive line, and we just don't see them hanging with a tough, well-balanced team on the road tonight.

Much, much better baseball card tonight than yesterday. Back later.

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