I said in yesterday's early post that the line movement pointed to Vassallo-Arguello, but of course I passed, and of course, he won. Frustrating. Two big underdogs for today:
ABN AMRO: P. Mathieu +246 over R. Gasquet, 0.5 units to win 1.23 units
Brasil Open: A. Montanes +174 over JC Ferrero, 0.5 units to win 0.87 units
In both cases, we're backing a longshot where I subjectively think the talent gap is narrower than the lines would suggest, and where the line has moved steadily in that direction also. If just one wins, it will be a good day.
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