Adding one more:
Baltimore Ravens Over 6 Wins -120 (WSEX), 3.6 units to win 3 units
The Ravens were the unluckiest team in football last year. Their defense performed well on first and second downs, but gave up an inordinate number of third down completions. Pro Football Prospectus tells me that when this happens, it's usually bad luck as much as anything else (an oversimplification of PFP, but you get the picture), and the team's defensive performance often improves the next year.
PFP projects 8.5 wins. I'm happy to lay -120 on Over 6 wins. Really, could their uncertainty at QB for 2008 result in anything worse than their production at qb in 2007?
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