Sunday, August 17, 2008

Sunday Night Bases and Hoops

One more for baseball:

Padres +204 (Matchbook), 0.50 units to win 1.02 units

Neither team can hit lately, and Hamels starting to look human. Worth half a unit at this price.


And in Olympic basketball, all lines from WSEX and all to win 1 unit:

Angola +29.5

Spain showed in its game vs. the USA that it knows how to play a game with less than maximum effort. The US should have won either way, but Spain didn't have any real motivation to try. By losing the game with the US, Spain is locked into the #2 seed in Group B, which means they won't have to face either the US or Argentina until the gold medal game. Nothing to gain in this game either, so there's no motivation to blow out Angola by 30+.

Germany +35

Hopefully, the US team has learned something from the rest of the world about not spending all your energy and/or risking injury in the preliminary rounds. The result will have no effect on seeding, so hopefully they take their foot off the gas pedal a little bit and cruise to an easy victory.

Argentina -8.5

This seems to contradict everything I said above, because Argentina has no motivation to win this game either, but the Russian team is just nowhere near as good as Argentina (especailly with Kryapa at less than 100%) and this line isn't ridiculously high like the first two. Argentina should cover this spread pretty easily even if the starters rest a fair amount.

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