Back from my trip to Grover's place. We didn't have time for both handicapping and shenanigans this weekend, and we chose shenanigans. Here are the picks for Monday, all lines from Matchbook:
Royals +165, 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Hochevar's got good stuff, Royals are hitting lefties well, and we're getting a big number. I wrote a post a while back about the Royals being often underrated on the road, and this is one of those occasions where the pitching/hitting matchup doesn't justify the line, which is based more on the simplistic idea that the Royals and terrible and the Red Sox are great than on the actual merits of the teams playing tonight.
Rangers +111, 1 unit to win 1.11 units
This Feldman kid is quietly having a really nice season so far. The Rangers hit righties really well in general and, in limited appearances, Bonser in particular. Wrong team favored in this one.
Giants +143, 1 unit to win 1.43 units
De La Rosa is not as bad at his ERA (9.42) would suggest, as his BABIP (.432) shows that he has been horribly unlucky so far this year. HOW-EH-VAH (my Steven A. Smith impression reappears), I don't think he's any better than Misch, and I'd call the hitting a draw since the Rockies aren't typically as tough versus lefties as they are against righties. A pretty close game and getting +143. We'll take that.
Probably passing on the NBA. Stern is likely not going to let the not-made-for-TV Spurs advance any further this year, and he certainly doesn't want to give Bruce Bowen a chance to injure Kobe before the battle with the Celtics in the Finals, but our lean to the Hornets isn't quite enough at this point to justify a play.
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