Well, the first batch of tennis picks went well enough for me to try a couple more. For Thursday:
J. Melzer (AUS) -148 (Pinnacle) over M. Daniel (BRA), 0.74 units to win 0.50 units
Daniel had never won a single match in a major until the first round of this year's French Open, but that win was not exactly something to brag about. Daniel's opponent was leading 1 set to none when he was forced to retire due to injury. Melzer has more experience winning matches in the big tourneys and should follow up his dominating 1st-round straight-set victory with a win over Daniel tomorrow.
D. Tursunov (RUS) +120 (Matchbook) over G. Garcia-Lopez (SPA), 0.50 units to win 0.60 units
You would expect the Spaniard to be the clay court specialist in this matchup, but the 30th seeded Tursunov is the one with the better results in this tournament. Garcia-Lopez oddly seems only to perform decently in the Australian Open. Looks like a sucker bet here with the unseeded player slightly favored over the barely-seeded player, but I think the line also has to do with the distorted perception that a Spanish player would be much more comfortable on this surface than the Russian. Ce n'est pas vrai.
J. Melzer (AUS) -148 (Pinnacle) over M. Daniel (BRA), 0.74 units to win 0.50 units
Daniel had never won a single match in a major until the first round of this year's French Open, but that win was not exactly something to brag about. Daniel's opponent was leading 1 set to none when he was forced to retire due to injury. Melzer has more experience winning matches in the big tourneys and should follow up his dominating 1st-round straight-set victory with a win over Daniel tomorrow.
D. Tursunov (RUS) +120 (Matchbook) over G. Garcia-Lopez (SPA), 0.50 units to win 0.60 units
You would expect the Spaniard to be the clay court specialist in this matchup, but the 30th seeded Tursunov is the one with the better results in this tournament. Garcia-Lopez oddly seems only to perform decently in the Australian Open. Looks like a sucker bet here with the unseeded player slightly favored over the barely-seeded player, but I think the line also has to do with the distorted perception that a Spanish player would be much more comfortable on this surface than the Russian. Ce n'est pas vrai.
No comments:
Post a Comment