Thursday, May 29, 2008

The Official Thursday Night Baseball Pick

Line from Matchbook:

Giants +192, 1 unit to win 1.92 units

Grover mentioned in the earlier post that we would be playing this game tonight, but we decided to wait until everybody got a chance to get their bets in on the "Big Unit" and against the worst pitcher ever, Barry Zito. Well, it worked, as the public is all over the D-Backs and the line has been driven up over +190. Nice.

Look, we don't think Zito is a great pitcher, but he's not as bad as his recent lines would suggest. The Giants have been hitting the crap out of lefties recently, and over their careers, the hitters in the Giants lineup tonight have hit the crap out of Randy Johnson in particular. D-Backs hit a little better against lefties, too, but they're still nothing to write home about. No real surprise if Arizona wins, but they wouldn't win this matchup often enough to justify this huge line. Value goes to us. Good luck everybody.

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