Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Wednesday Night Picks

Running late tonight. Just got back to the computer. Here are the picks, with limited time for explanations.

MLB

Padres +151 (WSEX), 1 unit to win 1.51 units

If the Padres are going to start hitting, it should be tonight as the Padres hitters have fared very well against Hudson in the past. If San Diego can keep it close until they can get into the Braves decimated bullpen, they have a great chance to cash this big number.

Twins +144 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.44 units

This line makes no sense to me. I understand that the White Sox almost had a no-hitter last night, but, um, that pitcher won't be on the field today. Twins hitters love to see Buehrle on the mound. It shall be Livan, and he shall be a good man.

NBA

Jazz +6.5 +105 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.05 units

Good post at The Money Line Journal today (link on the left) about whether it's better to get +6.5 +105 or +7 -110 in this game. I can't explain the math, but it's very interesting. Anyway, I liked the Jazz in Game 1 at a similar number, so no reason not to like Utah again in the same situation. Boozer and Deron do enough to keep it close. An outright win would not shock me at all.

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