Back from Vegas and hoping for a winning weekend. Wholeheartedly agree with our commenters that last night's Reds loss in the 9th (blowing the 3-run lead) was a real kick in the balls. In all three of tonight's picks, the public (e.g. wagerline) is clearly on the opposite side of our pick, but the line is moving as if our pick were getting the action. We're always looking for these spots in any sport. All lines from Matchbook:
Orioles -124, 1.24 units to win 1 unit
Guthrie pitching well this year. Galarraga has been lucky.
A's +153, 1 unit to win 1.53 units
72% of the wagerline folks on the Yanks. Mussina has pitched better this season than anyone expected, but this line is just too high, especially with the lame hitting by the Yanks lately.
Royals +138, 1 unit to win 1.38 units
White Sox are another huge public favorite (76% at wagerline), but the line has been slowly dropping instead of growing. Greinke's peripheral numbers (e.g. K/BB, K/9, WHIP, etc.) are better than Buehrle's this season, but Buehrle is more well known and therefore getting some extra love today. A good number for us in this spot.
Don't like anything in the WNBA tonight, which I'm sure is very disappointing. Good luck everybody.
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Here are my picks for the day.
$5K bankroll.
ML ARI $162
ML COL $331
ML SF $457
ML FLA $79
ML ATL $541
ML HOU $501
ML BOS $436
ML DET $216
ML CWS $327
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