The title refers not only to the fact that we're closing on on a positive number for the baseball season, but also to the fact that football season, the most glorious of all American sports seasons, is right around the corner. Many thanks to the sellouts at the International Olympic Committee, who decided to start marquee Olympic events at 8 AM Beijing time so us east coast American fatcats could watch them in prime time. Your corporate whoring will make the wait for football season a little more tolerable.
I'm making these picks early because I'm anticipating a busy afternoon in my other life as a desk jockey. Since we're going against the public in all of these, feel free to wait and see if you can get a better number later in the day if you wish:
Baltimore Orioles +161 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.61 units.
Why are the Orioles getting a higher number facing Rasner today than they were facing Mussina yesterday? The disparity between yesterday's O's starter (Guthrie) and today's starter (Cabrera) isn't big enough to explain it. There's only two explanations: (1) someone knows something we don't; or (2) idiot Yankee fans and ESPN-watchers are driving up the line because they just don't think there's any way the NEW YORK YANKEES could possibly lose two in a row to the lowly Orioles. With 70% of the public on the Yankees, we're willing to bet it's the latter.
Chicago White Sox +120 (BetUS), 1 unit to win 1.2 units.
We like Clayton Richard, who performed exceptionally well in the minors this year. I remain completely unconvinced by Glen Perkins, tonight's Twins starter, who has been respectable but nothing special, and whose 7-3 record and even 4.08 ERA are a tad misleading. Now, if they had recalled Francisco Liriano to start this game, I wouldn't touch it with a ten-foot pole. Thankfully, the Twins are showing amazing incompetence when it comes to Liriano. Git while the gittin's good, as they say in Hambone country.
San Francisco Giants +116 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.16 units.
I [heart] Matt Cain. Also, 69% of public on the Dodgers, but I don't see much if any line movement based on Matchbook and other numbers, if you care about that sort of thing. I don't, though, because I love me some Cain and will not listen to anyone who dares to question his amazing talent. One day he will align the planets and bring about world peace.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
3 comments:
Glad to see you are regressing back towards even money on your picks. I seem to be regressing back towards even money. :)
Good luck. Here are the picks of the two methods that I am tracking.
vr, Xeifrank
Today's Bets (Simulator Method):
Pit($244), Bos($360), Det($123), Fla($182), Hou($400), Mil($400), Tex($292)
Today's Bets (AccuScore Method):
LAD($204), Col($137), LAA($238), NYY($346), Tor($259), Atl($178), Fla($188), Hou($223), Mil($178), Sea($176), Min($224), SD($137), KC($119)
Good luck tonight, xeifrank. That's an ass-load of plays.
haha, yes it's quite a load of plays. It's all automated.
vr, Xeifrank
Post a Comment