Onward and upward. First game is an afternoon start:
San Diego Padres -105 (Matchbook), 1.05 units to win 1 unit.
Did you know the Padres' third-order record and the Marlins' third-order record are only separated by about two games? With the Padres at home in an early start and the fact that the public is on the Marlins at a pretty decent clip, we're sold. Baek vs. Olsen = garbage vs. garbage, so that's pretty much a wash. We'll take the undervalued team vs the ridiculously overvalued team.
Cincinnati Reds +175 (BetUS), 1 unit to win 1.75 units
Standard Cubs fade with the public all over them even more so than normal today. Cueto has been up-and-down this year, but at +175 it's worth taking a chance on him even against Zambrano at Wrigley.
Texas Rangers +130 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.30 units.
Public is loving the Angels at a 67% clip, an extraordinary number for a road team. Must be because they "know how to win." Whatever. The teams' third-order records are separated by about 1.5 games. Me gusta. Fading a Weaver is just the icing on the cake for me. Note that this pick is not Hambone- approved as of 2 PM, when he had a meeting of some kind. Caveat Emptor.
Atlanta Braves +110 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.10 units.
Another ATL road game with a quality starter on the mound for the Braves = another Against All Odds unit play. We're so predictable.
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5 comments:
matchbook is down and all bets placed after 11:30am were voided just to give you guys a heads up.
I was having trouble with it at 1:30 when I first drafted this post- in fact my first draft didn't have any matchbook lines- but then it seemed to be running smoothly around 2 PM, so I edited the post. I just tried it again and got that technical difficulties message- thanks for the heads-up.
WSEX lines were pretty close to the matchbook lines except for the Reds, if I remember correctly, and BetUS was the best line on that game. They always seem to ahve good lines on heavy underdogs.
Yeah, it's been weird all day. Grover said he got back in right before he posted the picks, but now it's down again. Not the first time I've had trouble getting on that site. Thanks for the heads up.
Actually, saying that a pick is "not Hambone-approved" should be more of an endorsement than a warning.
I wanted to mention this yesterday but didnt have time....I didnt understand you saying that G. Olson of Fla. is garbage.....Have u looked at his stats..He is giving up less hits per inning pitched which is outstanding in this day and age...And he was at plau money..............I tend to agree with your rationale whether you win or lose but this didnt make sense to me at all......
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