Four games for today, including one in the afternoon. All lines from Matchbook:
Bluejays +106, 1 unit to win 1.06 units
The AAA numbers on this Richmond kid look like he could be a really good one. Edwin Jackson is what he is, a back of the rotation kind of guy. Rays not hitting well lately, so a good chance for the home team today.
Mariners +172, 1 unit to win 1.72 units
Somebody has to win this pitching crap-fest. In a game that could end up with a final score of 16-14, we're happy to get a dog of this size on either side.
Nationals +124, 1 unit to win 1.24 units
It takes balls to back the Nats these days, but that's the play today. Moyer and Redding have eerily similar stats, but it seems like the Phillies should have been much bigger favorites in this game. The sportsbooks aren't in the habit of handing out gifts, so it looks very suspicious. I'm sure the Phillies will get a lot of public love.
Padres +128, 1 unit to win 1.28 units
Another line that looks bizarre. Shouldn't Haren be a much bigger favorite tonight? Baek is pretty decent, but still, something's up here. We'll take the home dog.
Good luck today everybody. College football lines are starting to pop up around the books.
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6 comments:
I wouldn't call Richmond (age:28) a kid, but I totally agree re: Toronto otherwise.
Ha. Well, he's still 10 years younger than me, so maybe I can get away with calling him that. I looked at your site after I had already posted our picks and saw where you said he was 28. I had no idea. Maybe I still have a chance to make it in the big leagues, too. Good luck today.
Today's Bets (Simulator):
SF($113)
Pit($236)
Det($162)
Bal($318)
Tor($316)
Fla($372)
Hou($375)
Mil($375)
SD($206)
KC($155)
TB/Tor is still up in the air as I type this - I played TB just because a 28 yr old making his first start is a signal to me that if he was worth a damn, he would have made the show much, much earlier....Keep in mind too that you cant read too much into AA/AAA stats - there are career minor leaguers that will never make it to the big leagues (roster filler) and these guys help over-inflate pitcher stats...
Dan, I understand what you're saying, and I didn't notice that he was 28 when I played it. I am well aware that minor league pitchers aren't the same as major league league stats, but to me, a guy who is dominating AAA hitters has a much better chance of succes in the majors than a pitcher with mediocre numbers in the minors. Thanks for the comment. It's coming down to the wire.....
Ugh. Mariners just had the bases loaded and no outs in the top of the 7th and scored exactly ZERO runs. Nice.
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