Stumbled upon this insightful Covers article this morning. Basically, the "professional" handicapper is advocating that we all bet on Overs in baseball. Why? Because there's a chance you could cover the Over in the very first inning! And then you wouldn't have to "sweat" out the result the rest of the game. This makes the Over the "best bet in baseball." I'm sure our friend at Vegas Watch could put together some interesting stats about what difference this possibility of an early win makes in the real world.
The funniest part of the article is that part where the author says that once the game goes over early, you're in the money as long as the game isn't cancelled by bad weather before it becomes official. But, if you "do your homework ahead of time" on the weather, you can avoid being surprised by a weather cancellation. So, if we suspect that a game might go Over in the first couple of innings, but our "weather homework" reveals the possibility of a rain-out, do we not bother to place the wager? Or is it just important that we aren't surprised when our winning wager gets cancelled? I think I would be just as pissed off even if I knew there was a chance of bad weather beforehand. But, maybe that's just me, and I'm not a Covers expert.
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
Overs can be fun -- but the column neglected to point out that's usually when you're more than a pint deep and banging the table at every sign of offense...
I like the commenter that suggests that Unders are a good bet, because you always start the game in a winning position.
(This same commenter by the way cites that he made 242 picks on MLB & NHL -- but yet has netted 339 units! Now that's picking your spots...
PS: Your link is broken.
Post a Comment