Still a little sore about not taking the hook with UAB and ending up with a push. Still, the Pitt play won easily and I shouldn't complain after nights where we win. One for tonight and three early picks for Saturday, all lines from Matchbook:
Friday Night
Marshall +3.5 -109, 1.09 units to win 1 unit
Well, they had that movie about Marshall recently so they must be pretty good. The step-down at QB from Mauk to Grutza in Cincy is a lot steeper than I expected it to be. The Cincinnati kids will be so freaked out after driving through West Virginia (squeal like a pig!), there's no way they'll be on their A-game. I made that drive once, and although I saw dozens of people along the road, I think I counted a total of 11 teeth. It's seriously scary.
Saturday
Iowa +6.5 +102, 1 unit to win 1.02 units
These teams look roughly equal to me, and the betting/line movement is screaming for the Hawkeyes here. I think MSU should change their mascot from the Michigan State "Spartans" to the Michigan State "Guys Who Consistently Play to the Level of Their Opponents." I know, too wordy.
Iowa State +11.5 -104, 1.04 units to win 1 unit
What's with the Iowa teams this week? Maybe I'm craving corn. Kansas not nearly as good as the hype machine left over from last year would have you believe. As Lee Corso would say, closer than the "experts" think. Of course, he doesn't have the balls to say that by "experts," he means the betting lines. At least Brent Musberger was never afraid to blatantly discuss the lines during his broadcasts.
Northern Illinois +16 +105, 1 unit to win 1.05 units
Almost made this one a 2-unit play, but declined. The classic sandwich game for Tennessee - coming off games vs. Florida and Auburn, and looking ahead to a trip to Athens to play Georgia next week, the Volunteers get a "week off" with this game against the Huskies. It's like Sarah Palin thinking she was getting a breather by showing up for an interview with lightweight Katie Couric, right up until she realized too late that Katie really wanted to kick her ass.
Ha! Grover's not the only one who can come up with current events jokes! But, seriously, this rambling post is bumping his NFL picks down a little bit, so make sure you scroll down. There will almost certainly be a few additions tomorrow, but this is it for now. Good luck everybody.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
3 comments:
You are 2 QBs behind re: Cincy. Grutza broke his leg a few weeks back and his replacement Pike broke his arm last week.
Enter Zach Collaros.
This is what happens when a guy with a one-week-old son makes picks. It makes a strong argument for birth control, if you ask me.
Oh yeah, I haven't had as much time for homework this week. Be afraid, be very afraid. Still, with the 4th-stringer in for Cincy, I might like this play even better. Thanks for the heads-up. Back to diaper duty.
Post a Comment