Sunday, October 26, 2008

Tale of the Tape - World Series Game 4


I had planned to do this for Game 3 as well, but I really thought it was going to be rained out. As with game 2, this is just a quick listing of some of the key stats for tonight's game for those of you who might not have time to do all of homework:

Pitchers (2008 stats)

Stat: _ Blanton / Sonnanstine
K/BB: _ 1.68 / 3.35
WHIP: _ 1.40 / 1.29
K/9: _ 5.05 / 5.77
ERA: _ 4.69 / 4.38
FIP: _ 4.52 / 3.91
BB/9: _ 3.01 / 1.72
HR/9: _ 1.00 / 0.98

Hitters (2008 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers [through the league championship series])

Phillies . . . . . . . . . . Rays
J. Rollins .790 . . . A. Iwamura .756
J. Werth .767 . . . . B. Upton .769
C. Utley .932 . . . . C. Pena .994
R Howard .967 . . . . E. Longoria .890
P. Burrell .843 . . . C. Crawford .754
S. Victorino .762 . . D. Navarro .767
P. Feliz .636 . . . . G. Gross .789
C. Ruiz .604 . . . . J. Bartlett .597

Lineups should look pretty much like that when they are announced. Phillies swap Werth and Victorino at the 2 & 6 spots some nights, and the Rays could play Baldelli in right field instead of Gross as they did in Game 2. Other than that, I think I've got it right (I still think it wouldn't be a bad idea for the Rays to start Zobrist at SS over Bartlett vs. righties, but they're making the decision to get defense over hitting there). Pitching matchup favors the Rays, and the hitting looks pretty even. Rays getting 62% at wagerline right now, which is a little worrisome if you're contemplating a play on Tampa. Back later if we play it.

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