The Start of a New Week

Still nauseous after the end of that Eagles game yesterday. One play today, in the ALCS:

Rays +181 (Matchbook), 1 unit to win 1.81 units

Not much needs to be said here. Lester may be slightly better than Garza, as Garza's home run rate is slightly worse and Lester's FIP (similar to ERA, but with fielding impact removed) is a half-run better. But, it's not this much different, and the public is on Boston, so we're on Tampa.

To elaborate on the regular season numbers:

K/BB
Garza: 2.17
Lester: 2.30

WHIP
Garza: 1.24
Lester: 1.27

K/9
Garza: 6.24
Lester: 6.50

FIP
Garza: 4.14
Lester: 3.64

BB/9
Garza: 2.88
Lester: 2.82

HR/9
Garza: 0.93
Lester: 0.60

Except for the differences in FIP and HR/9, as mentioned above, these guys are eerily similar. Not a situation where I'd give either guy even close to a line differential like this.