Monday, December 22, 2008

Afternoon Hoops From Puerto Rico


I'm going to have to come back after work and narrow down the list for tonight (looking at 9-10 at the moment), but we have one pick for this afternoon, game tips off at 3 PM Eastern:

Murray State +1.5 -111, 1.11 units to win 1 unit

Line opened late at Wright State -1.5 and has dropped to -1 at some books already. Not much consensus data to go on because of the line just coming out recently (Sports Insights says 90% Wright State, which is completely insane), but with the tiny line move, and looking at the players involved, this one is worth a pick. Even if Wright State's leading scorer (Duggins) weren't sitting this one out, I would still give the edge to Murray State because of their advantage in the paint - e.g. 2 players (Aska & McClain) both averaging more than 6 rebounds per game so far. With Duggins injured, I can't see how Wright State can be favored, even on a neutral court.

Back after work with the rest.

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