Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Just One For Tuesday So Far

In college hoops:

Tennessee Tech +17 -105, 1.05 units to win 1 unit

The big line move from FSU -18.5 down to FSU -17 grabbed my attention this morning. Florida State looks like it's going to be one of those frustrating teams that gets up for the big-name schools and just goes through the motions against the little guys. They have some nice wins over Cincinnati, Cal, and Florida, but against the cupcakes on their schedule, they don't have any wins by more than 12 points so far this season. Tennessee Tech hasn't played anybody yet, but they've got a well-rounded roster, although admittedly lacking in size. FSU gets the win, but falls short of expectations. Again.

The betting numbers and line movement look right on South Florida, but there are several meaningful injuries in that game, which means it's probably a pass for us. Lean to Marquette also, but wagerline doesn't have any consensus numbers up right now, and covers says it's off the board. The books have a line on this game (Tennessee -6), but I'm wondering if there is about to be some kind of injury update coming. I'll take a look after work tonight.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Like I said, staying away from the South Florida/Vandy game. I don't know what happened while I was working, but that line has moved dramatically again, but in the other direction this time. Maybe one of the injured/sick players is warming up or something, don't have time to figure it out.