Monday, December 29, 2008

Back To Work Blues

Going back to the office after 5 days off is no fun at all. Phone never stops ringing, no time to goof off looking at sports information. Still, a pretty healthy list of picks put together after getting home:

College Football

Northwestern +12 +109, 1 unit to win 1.09 units


Mostly, as usual, just looking at the betting and line movement. 65-70% on Missouri at wagerline the whole time, but the line dropped from Missouri -13.5 to -12. Northwestern hasn't been overwhelmed by teams that like to throw it a lot like Purdue and Illinois. Those teams don't have quite the stats as Chase Daniel and crew, but Missouri's defense is much worse as well. Slow and steady Northwestern keeps it close.

NBA

Thunder +9 +113, 1 unit to win 1.13 units

76ers +6.5 +100, 1 unit to win 1 unit


I think I do better in the NBA when I just look at the line moves and don't try to come up with player-based justifications for the picks. Cant' trust any of 'em, so just go with the numbers.

College Basketball

Temple +9 -110, 1.1 units to win 1 unit


Christmas vs. Reynolds should be fun. Dante Cunningham in the frontcourt gives Nova the win, but it should be a close one.

Long Beach State +9 -105, 1.05 units to win 1 unit

Don't tell anybody....Oregon is not any good.....sssshhhhhhhh.

Idaho State -5.5 +117, 1 unit to win 1.17 units

You can throw out the records when these two rivals lace 'em up! Seriously, though, there's no real betting consensus, but Idaho State is a much better team. Are we allowed to say things like that anymore?

College of Charleston +4.5 +102, 1 unit to win 1.02 units

73% of wagerline backing Stephen Curry and Davidson tonight, but I don't think Curry's teammates are good enough for them to be favored over C.O.C. in Charleston.

Passing CS-Northridge (line opened at +10.5 and is now +3.5? Must be a typo somewhere), Eastern Washington, and Central Michigan. Good luck everybody.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

COC and Davidson are playing in Santa Clara not Charleston.

Don't be too embarrassed. I didn't realize this fact until 10 minutes ago myself.

Anonymous said...

On 2nd thought. No they are not. Thanks you Bookmaker for making me look like a total ass.

Anonymous said...

Yeah, I think it's James Madison and UTEP in Santa Clara which is just about as weird. No worries, I'm pretty sure you've caught me making that mistake before.