Monday, December 8, 2008

Monday Night Hockey and Late Night Hoops

And, yes, at my age, 10 PM on a Monday night qualifies as late night. The picks:

NHL

Islanders +142, 0.5 units to win 0.71 units


Public likes Toronto but line hasn't moved much, if at all. Statistically, they don't look that different to me, and Toronto's goalkeeping is not up to par.

Blues -102, 1.02 unit to win 1 unit

Like I've said before, I don't really know anything about hockey so if somebody important is injured, I don't know about it, but the Blues seem much better than the Predators statistically. If you know about hockey injuries, you shouldn't be getting your picks from this site.

NBA

Clippers +3.5 +107, 1 unit to win 1.07 units


Public loves the Magic, the bookies don't. I'm siding with the bookies. Clips have covered 5 out of the 6 games since Zach Randolph joined the team (small sample size alert!) by just scoring a ton of points and forcing their opponents to keep up with them. With the additions of Randolph and Baron Davis, and the emergence of Thornton and Gordon, they are no defense and all offense (except for the two games per month that Camby is healthy enough to block shots). Can the Magic keep up tonight? The line movement says no.

College Basketball

San Jose State +8.5 +104, 1 unit to win 1.04 units

A dramatic line move from the opening line of San Diego -11 down to -9, which hopefully hasn't sucked all of the value out of this underdog. It's early in the season, and even though they're doing fine, I expected more out of Pomare and Brandon Johnson this year, and Trumaine Johnson is suspended rather than breaking out. Disappointing. San Jose doesn't have any superstars, but they don't have big holes either, and are pretty good rebounders. Slow and steady gets the cover tonight.

Good luck everybody.

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