Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Eight Is Probably Too Many


But, there were 17 leans or so in college basketball to begin with and this is as far as I could narrow it down. Gonna be a rough ride. The picks, to win 1 unit on the favorites, and risking 1 unit on the dogs:

Providence -2 -102

On the road, without Rautins and Onuaku, I just don't get why everybody is on Syracuse. Are the Orange really shooting less than 50% on the free throws away from the Dome? That's horrible (it's more fun if you say "horrible" like Bill Walton there. Go ahead, try it).

Georgia State +9.5 +103

I'm pretty sure I keep getting my ass kicked on these Colonial games, but I keep playing them. I am what the French call un dumbass.

Villanova +3 -103

OK, I'm listing this as a pick to keep up our contrarian street cred, but secretly, I'm putting my entire retirement fund on Pittsburgh because the books are giving away free money on this one. Pittsburgh is only a 3-point favorite?!? That's insanity! I don't understand how the books stay in business when they are constantly giving away free, easy money to 75% of their customers. That sounds like a really lousy business model. I guess the sportsbooks probably don't really make any money.

Nebraska +4 +100

They did it again! Only 4 points for THE DEFENDING NATIONAL CHAMPIONS? Crazy. 74% of the wagerline crowd is getting free money tonight. Wait, they still have all the same players as last year, right?

Loyola-Chicago +4.5 -101

Ramblers have really underachieved compared to how I thought they would do before the season started. Betting and line movement suggest they'll be better tonight.

UTEP +5 -102

Houston had a short bench already, but with one of their best players (Coleman) suspended for stomping on Chase Budinger's face, Stefon Jackson will probably cover this line by himself.

Missouri State +6 -110 (WSEX)

I've got to mark this down on my calendar - Pomeroy actually agrees with me on this one, although it's very close (he has SIU by 5). Deep bench for Mo. St. keeps it close.

Kansas State +3 +101

Another home dog in the Big 12 that the public hates. Yummy.

That's it (isn't that enough?). Hockey is already up. Nothing in the NBA, which is strange when 12 games are on the docket tonight. Wiz and Clips were the only ones that even rated a glance, but injuries are really mucking those teams up right now. Good luck everybody.

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