Saturday, January 17, 2009

Noon in the ACC


Getting a late start today, but thought I would go ahead and get the early picks in now, before real life starts to get in the way:

Georgia Tech +5 -102, 1.02 units to win 1 unit

Betting is pretty equally split, so I understand if folks want to pass this one. But, looking at the talent on these teams, this line is a few points too high, in my personal uninformed opinion (Square Alert!). I've seen a few NC State games, and it's painful to watch, because they are playing without any guards that can play at all. Awful. They've got 2 decent big men (McCauley & Costner), but most of the time those guys would rather shoot jump shots than get their hands dirty in the paint. Yellow Jackets solid up and down the line-up, and they should win this one straight-up.

Maryland +4 -110, 1.1 units to win 1 unit

This line is 3.5 or even 3 at most books, so once again, thanks to Matchbook for providing a better alternative. 65% of wagerline on Florida State, but line has dropped up to a full point at most places, as mentioned in the first sentence. That would be enough in itself, but I also like the player matchups here. FSU's point guard (Douglas) is good, but the Terps counter with Vasquez which cancels out the edge FSU might have in that spot against a lot of teams. Before the season started, I would have predicted that Echefu and crew in the frontcourt would have a definitive edge against Terps, but it hasn't turned out that way so far. Another rare game where Pomeroy's predictor agrees with me (he's got FSU by 2).

Back in a little while. After 4 winning days in a row, and 6 out of the last 7 (jinx!), I really need to find time to update the records today.

No comments: