Sunday Afternoon Hoops, Gettin' Good Juice

Some excellent juice out there today on the games I like at Matchbook. Maybe that's a bad sign. After all the time and effort put into yesterday, we ended up 5-5-1, which is really annoying. The afternoon plays:

NBA

Raptors +3 -101, 2.02 units to win 2 units

As usual, where you've got around 70% on the favorite and the line goes the other way, you're probably going to see us on the other side. All those little bets on the Suns, and they can't measure up to the big bets coming in from the professionals on Toronto. We'd rather be on the side of the big professional gamblers than the legions of $20 bettors. And, by the way, has nobody else noticed that the Suns just aren't that good?

College Basketball

Georgia +7.5 +106, 1 unit to win 1.06 units

Not a huge consensus on Kentucky, but with the line holding steady or even dropping to 7 (at Pinnacle, I think), this one just barely squeaks in. After all the attention paid to Meeks' 54-point game in the win over Tennessee a few days ago, the linesmakers surely had to shade this toward the Wildcats at least a little bit. Playing at home, with good production off the bench, and Kentucky maybe in a letdown spot, Bulldogs keep it close.

Seton Hall +18.5 +107, 1 unit to win 1.07 units

No consensus on this one at all (we're going to have to hand in our contrarian club card), but a line move toward the Hall, against a popular team like UConn who aren't really burying a lot of teams this season, seals the deal.

Missouri State +12.5 +105, 1 unit to win 1.05 units

These two teams played to a regulation tie a couple of weeks ago. With the public slightly on Illinois State, the line has either held steady of taken a small retreat. Pomeroy has the Redbirds by 11 in this one, so at least one smart person out there is on my side.

Well, I see that the Thunder are playing a game tonight, which means there's a 99.7% chance that I'll be back later to make at least one pick for tonight. Haven't really looked at it yet, but it's amazing how the books/public continue to under-rate these guys every time. They're 27-14 ATS on the season, and have covered 15 out of their last 18 spreads, but folks are still betting against them in droves. Good for us. Good luck everybody.