Wednesday, January 14, 2009

We Can Build On This!


Both an indication that we'll probably have a couple more picks later and also a farewell to sound-bite machine Herm Edwards, who is not likely to retain his job very much longer (like the rest of the country). The early games:

NBA

Wizards +4.5 -104, 1.04 units to win 1 unit

Thunder +5.5 -105, 1.05 units to win 1 unit


Around 70% or more on the other side of these picks, but the lines have gone the other way, which is what we like to see.

College Basketball

Towson +9 -101, 1.01 units to win 1 unit


Close to 70% on the other side (VCU) here as well, but line has been frozen at 9 since last night. We'll take the home team.

William & Mary +6 -110 (WSEX), 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Another home dog in the Colonial. The public loves former Cindarella George Mason, but their money is not enough to budge this line. I wonder who's putting the money on the Bill & Mary side to keep this line steady? Hmmmmmm.....

Southern Methodist +2 +105, 1 unit to win 1.05 units

We would like to be getting a couple of extra points with the road team, but with 74% of the wagerline crowd on Rice (along with 89% at Sports Insights, 79% at Sports Interaction, 80% at Sportsbook, & 92% at Carib [not sure I believe that last one]), and the line dropping from Rice -3 to Rice -2.5, this one was a no-brainer.

I'm sure there will be a couple more a little later, but it's hard work trying to weed some out when there's a big card like tonight. Does that recent little line move diqualify Penn State? Is 57% on Western Michigan not enough to justify a play on Toledo? After 3 up-and-down moves already, is Hofstra too scary? Back later with the rest.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I played Drexel -4 - I watched the firt meeting between the two schools..Drexel won on the road and to me was better and deserved to win....Laying just 4 on their home court, the game played out about how I expected it....Sometimes the wacky line moves and public sentiment just doesnt add up to to the talent on the court........