Saturday, January 10, 2009

Saturday Early Hoops Picks

Just a few in the early hours:

Hofstra +14 -109, 1.09 units to win 1 unit

Slight consensus on VCU (63%) at Wagerline, line has taken a small step backwards. A few points too many.

Georgia Tech +7.5 +105, 1 unit to win 1.05 units

No public consensus to go against, betting split right down the middle pretty much everywhere, but with the retreat from the opener of +8.5, and my subjective (square!) preference for the Yellow Jackets' athleticism and the rebounding of Lawal & Aminu, we're going with the line move here.

Providence +11 +104, 1 unit to win 1.04 units

There are some very smart people out there (Pomeroy, Vegas Watch, etc.) who love the Hoyas based on win/loss margins, and the numbers are what they are, but I'm just not sold. Outside of the UConn win, their results aren't overwhelming and for God's sake can somebody on that team grab a rebound once in a while? Providence has balanced scoring, solid bench production, and with the line falling from the Pinnacle opener of Georgetown -12 in the face of decent public support for the Hoyas (62% Wagerline, 70% Sportsbook, 73% Carib, 61% Sports Insights), we're on the Friars this afternoon.

I'm predicting that there will be more plays later. Just a hunch.

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